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Sounds like a scary movie villain "Case Shiller & Fred" but could be the dreams that houses are made of:


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Sounds like a scary movie villain "Case Shiller & Fred" but could be the dreams that houses are made of:

Let's take a step back and take a look at what we call Statistical Analysis. Long short of the story when you need to know where to go for dollars or where the dollars are coming in from you need analysis I call this the key part of any business (I'm biased engineering degree). So when you're embarking on one of the largest purchases in your life the last thing you would want to do is buy it then start to lose money on it. So as you hunt for the home without statistic you wouldn't know how the home could withstand tailwinds or stresses. This is where the scary villain comes into full circle. See Case-Shiller & FRED does a few things to ease your search they provide the current data from the market they also forecast the potential trajectory of where the market is going.This looks like a scary movie that I want to buy into 

Let's take a look at the overall timeline for the housing market:

Interesting chart because it shows no matter how far down the housing market goes due to increased population, inflation, among others it comes back up and I don't expect that result to change. 


So good ol Case has made some predictions as As we see an increase in the interests rate and a surplus of supply what could you see happening to the market.  The key thing to look at moving forward is not just the housing factors but the other issues that could drive the market and that comes in the realm of a recovering economy with jobs, wage inflation, and the rent flight we may see as rental prices are starting to become double the rate of having a mortgage in smaller towns the opportunities look to be endless for homes that hit the market. 



With these factors in play who is not to believe in this market

Homeownership rate:


Employment Rate: Increasing 


Employed Full Time $ Rate: 


 
So let's take a peak at what Shiller has to offer today, what are the housing trends at this time? where should you park your dollars? Be advised that the housing market analysis is macro in scope and you will have to look into your local key drivers to understand the path of least resistance. 

Home Rental Price Index: 


 
So where is the outlook pent-up demand is a great thing, you know the insatiable crave that you have been having for years and you finally cannot hold the surge any longer.  Well that's one of the reasons we cannot curtail the market forecasts see below: 

The savings rate tells a big story to the pent up: 
 
So it looks like your not to late and still have a few more years of ramp up to get into the action. With some of the newer tax policies that are being hinted by our soon to be in office president its no wonder that the economists are starting to ease their fears and making a bet for a large ramp up. Stay tuned and watch out for the potential climb.